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THE CHUTE - TOMSICH BUTTE TO HIDDEN SPLENDER

Muddy Creek - utah
20th of May
Status TOO LOW
Streamflow 134 cfs
Average 450 cfs
Runnable Min 180 cfs
Runnable Max 700 cfs
Gradient 27 FPM
Length 15 Miles
Class II to II+
Current Weather 69° Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers and Breezy

Summary

The Chute - Tomsich Butte to Hidden Splender is currently TOO LOW to be paddled and you could find yourself bottoming out on rocks. Paddlers are advised to exercise caution with streamflow levels at 134cfs, about -70% below the average runnable rate of 450cfs. We recommend paddling this section of the Muddy Creek between a bare minimum of 180cfs and a high of 700cfs.

This class II to II+ journey is accessible from 2 different boat launch points along the Muddy Creek. Paddlers should prepare for some fun paddling along this run. Streamflow levels and subsequent run conditions for The Chute - Tomsich Butte To Hidden Splender are sourced from the nearby USGS streamflow gauge at Muddy Creek Near Emery, Ut.


When the water is flowing this is one of the best kayak and IK floats in the entire state of Utah.  It may not be big water with Class III to IV holes and waves but the scenery and experience is incomparable.  When the chute cuts through the reef you are floating between sheer sandstone walls.  Keep an eye out for possible wood hazards but for the most part this is a great class II cruiser. Weather on the river today will be a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. cloudy, with a high near 69. breezy, with a south wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph in the afternoon.

Season Begins: May & Ends: June

Seasonal Flow Status: 0% Above Average

With a 134cfs streamflow rate, The Chute - Tomsich Butte To Hidden Splender is currently above its 64cfs average seasonal streamflow for this time of year by 0%. Typically, this paddling destination has seen streamflow levels ranging between a low of 64cfs in 2015, and a high of 64cfs seen in 2015. Data for this report is sourced directly from USGS streamflow gauge 09330500



Hourly Forecast: 69° Today, Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers and Breezy

Over the course of the next 5 days, weather conditions on the river are expected to range between A chance of snow showers before noon, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. to a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. cloudy, with a high near 69. breezy, with a south wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph in the afternoon. Forecasts predict more snow this week across Utah, with up to 10" of new snowfall expected on the river over the next 5 days.

Forecast Discussion

000 FXUS65 KSLC 161121 AFDSLC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT 521 AM MDT Thu May 16 2019 .SYNOPSIS...Continued warm with locally strong winds today will precede a transition to much cooler and unsettled conditions for the latter portion of the week into early next week. && .SHORT TERM (Through 00z Monday)...Early morning water vapor and H5 analysis more clearly depict a transitional pattern evolution than just 12 hours previous, with the ridge that`s been overhead shifting further downstream while an impinging trough on the pac coast has further deepened/amplified upstream. Locally the eastern Great Basin remains beneath a strengthening SW flow aloft. Quite breezy most locales on Wednesday, even more so today with support from a sharpening MSLP gradient and strengthening H7 flow (35-45kts) late this morning through the afternoon. With encroachment of the aforementioned trough and cold front coincident, modest destabilization this afternoon coupled with a net increase of large-scale ascent within an increasingly diffluent environment will drive scattered convection across the western 2/3rds of the area as well. With vertical shear becoming increasingly strong this afternoon and boundary layer conditions remaining largely dry...the potential for isolated strong/severe winds remains a potential, but isn`t expected to be the norm. Have maintained the going wind advisory for most of the lower elevation valley locales due to the synoptic set up, while future shifts will handle any convective enhancement to that with short- fused warnings if needed. Cold frontal passage will translate west to east late day into the overnight hours tonight, lifting with a slight ENE trajectory as the parent trough transitions from near neutral to positive tilt in response to a strong near zonal jet max punching into the desert southwest. Post frontal CAA within a northwest flow will rapidly cool temps leading into Friday (some 20+ degrees vs. today), with snow levels lowering to just below 7kft as the trough translates overhead into Friday. Do expect fairly widespread precip, some mountain snow throughout the day, reinforced by a trailing short wave that will further enhance curvature Friday afternoon into the evening hours. .50-1.00 ...




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